ActionAid International: G20’s temporary ceasefire

As the G20 in Seoul discussed the ‘currency wars’, ActionAid International called on world leaders to remember the poor and vulnerable that will be most affected by their decisions. Soren Ambrose, ActionAid International’s International Finance policy expert said from Seoul: “The G20 leaders may sign a temporary ceasefire in Seoul, but the ‘currency wars’ will persist. Leaders must acknowledge that a ‘system’ of massive deficits, surpluses, and accumulation of dollar reserves, with developing countries subsidising the US economy, is simply no longer sustainable.

According to Ambrose, the casualties in this war will be the developing countries that can’t defend against hot money flows and the threat of rising prices. The G20 leaders must act now to aim for a lasting peace by examining new proposals for a neutral world reserve currency that can end the distortions before next year’s summit.

South Centre: The missing issues on the G20 agenda

The hopes of a rapid global economy recovery have recently been dashed by renewed turmoil in the world economy. The sovereign debt problems in several European countries, the gyrations in currency exchange rates, volatility in capital flows, and the war of words among major economies over “trade sanctions” and “competitive devaluations” are some of the many troubling signs of a new crisis that may be worse than the 2008-9 crisis triggered by the US sub-prime mortgage problem.

A new South Centre report, Why the IMF and the International Monetary System Need More than Cosmetic Reform, authored by the Centre's Special Economic Advisor, Yilmaz Akyüz argues that these recent problems reflect the lack of international mechanisms to prevent financial crises that have global repercussions and that threaten to spill over to the trading and economic systems. The report points out that:
* There are no effective rules and regulations to bring inherently unstable international financial market and capital flows under control.
* There is no multilateral discipline over misguided monetary, financial and exchange rate policies in systemically important countries despite their strong adverse international spillovers.
* National and international policy makers are preoccupied primarily with resolving crises by supporting those who are responsible for these crises, rather than introducing institutional arrangements to reduce the likelihood of their recurrence. Through such interventions, they are creating more problems than they are solving, and indeed sowing the seeds for future difficulties.

The South Centre report is being issued on the eve of the G20 Summit 10-12 November in Seoul. The G20 has established itself as the forum to deal with the financial crisis. According to the report, however, the G20 and the IMF agendas do not include some of the most important issues that need to be addressed to deal adequately with the financial crisis or prevent future crises. The missing issues include enforceable exchange rate and adjustment obligations, orderly sovereign debt workout mechanisms and the reform of the international reserves system.

Developing countries are especially vulnerable to the effects of the global financial problems, and they also have limited capacity to respond to shocks. They thus have a special interest in the reform of the international financial and monetary system, including the IMF. The reforms should lead to the establishment of an orderly and equitable international monetary and financial system. However, if this does not materialise, developing countries should find ways and means of protecting themselves and looking after their interests through regional mechanisms. These include arrangements regarding regional currencies and exchange rate mechanisms, intra-regional provision of international liquidity, policy surveillance and regulation of financial markets and capital flows.

Global solutions are better than such regional arrangements and developing countries should strive to realise them. But if major economic powers do not cooperate in building the new global system, it is definitely better to have the regional arrangements than to have a “non-system” in which the developing countries continue to be the victims of global financial crises.

Please find the report >>> here.